One small kink in your theory:
In order to achieve peace they have to want peace. There are the surface problems of greed to deal with. Then there are the religious disputes. Then there are cultural evolution problems do to the previous root problems. All I see is a big knot.
The Shias and Sunnies are split do to religious doctrine. The Shias have a literal view while the Sunnies have a fundamental interpretation of the Qaran.
The UN, USA or Russia can't resolve this. This is much like the Spanish Inquisition or the Jewish holocaust in nature. All that can be done is contain it until they are tired of killing each other.
Russia has interest in Assad. Assad has interest with others that are at odds with Israel. Israel is forced into this because of the antisemitic views of of some in the region that tend to blow stuff up. Turkey has been dragged into it. The USA wants to do business as look out friends that are suffering.
There are also secondary agendas to whoever wins to consider. The people factor, lol.... Everyone wants to do it their way. Everyone is right lmao....
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